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S2US Treasury futures spreads

Bond Yield-Curve Spreads

Q7 AEGIS AI S2 — Bond Yield-Curve-Spread Architecture

5y/10y · 10y/30y · 5y/30y · 30y/UB5m · 15m · 1h · 4h~5.0k words
S2

algorithmic trading carries substantial risk of loss. past performance does not guarantee future results. Quant7 Alpha, LLC does not custody client assets, does not provide personalized investment advice, and is not a registered investment advisor.

abstract

We describe S2, the bond-curve member of the Q7 AEGIS AI family, which trades the cointegration of US Treasury futures yield-curve spreads — the dollar-weighted residual between two leg prices — across four canonical spreads (5y/10y, 10y/30y, 5y/30y, 30y/ultra) and four intraday horizons. The spread is stationary where the outright is not; the architecture trades the residual's mean-reverting structure while respecting the regime shifts that break cointegration.

In one line — Trades the residual, not the outright. A cointegration engine on the Treasury curve — stationary where price isn't.
full paper

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