αQuant7Alpha
live · s7 prediction markets·forward-test in flight·rx cycle 02

ava.

event-driven prediction markets — political, macro, regulatory.

4 event categories monitored across 2 prediction-market venues. every position is an active wager in the owner's real account. resolution is binary — market resolves correct or incorrect at the event timestamp.

calibrated assets
POLITICALMACROREGULATORYENERGY
s7 tape
ENTEREDYES·CPI-MAY-25@ 34%ENTEREDNO·FOMC-25BP-JUN@ 72%CORRECTRES-001·+$240CORRECTRES-002·+$180MISSEDRES-003·-$320ENTEREDYES·EU-AI-ACT-Q3@ 65%

upcoming events

8 markets tracked · sorted by event time
MACROPolymarket
CPI-MAY-25
May 2026 CPI release · YoY > 3.2%?
in
2d
q7 confidence
84%YES
market · 38% YES →
MACROKalshi
FOMC-25BP-JUN
June FOMC · 25bp cut decision?
in
7d
q7 confidence
71%NO
market · 67% YES →
MACROPolymarket
EARN-AAPL-Q3
Apple Q3 earnings · EPS beat consensus?
in
11d
q7 confidence
53%YES
market · 55% YES →
ENERGYPolymarket
OPEC-CUT-JUN
OPEC+ output cut at June meeting?
in
17d
q7 confidence
66%NO
market · 58% YES →
REGULATORYPolymarket
EU-AI-ACT-Q3
EU AI Act enforcement starts Q3?
in
44d
q7 confidence
91%YES
market · 72% YES →
ENERGYKalshi
ATL-HURR-Q3
Atlantic hurricane season · above-average activity?
in
59d
q7 confidence
77%YES
market · 51% YES →
REGULATORYKalshi
CLARITY-PASSES
Clarity Act passes by EOY?
in
119d
q7 confidence
62%YES
market · 41% YES →
POLITICALKalshi
PRES-DEM-2028
2028 Presidential · Democratic nominee wins?
in
179d
q7 confidence
—
market · 48% YES →

active positions

3 open · across polymarket + kalshi
eventvenuesideprob entry → nowstakeunrealized p&l
CPI-MAY-25
May 2026 CPI release · YoY > 3.2%?
PolymarketYES34%→38%$1,200+$141.18
FOMC-25BP-JUN
June FOMC · 25bp cut decision?
KalshiNO72%→67%$800+$60.61
EU-AI-ACT-Q3
EU AI Act enforcement starts Q3?
PolymarketYES65%→72%$500+$53.85

hit rate

resolved markets · q7 direction vs outcome
30 day
71%
14 trades resolved
90 day
68%
25 trades resolved
all time
68%
25 trades resolved